Somewhere around 3-3 or 4-3 in the first set (Federer having served first), I said aloud that I thought Nadal was going to win the match. It had been a physical match, Federer was struggling with his first serve, Nadal had had break-point chances in two of Federer’s service games already, and the heavy humidity was keeping the ball slow. And then suddenly Federer broke for 5-3 and quickly served out the set. From there he did just what we’d see him do against Nadal in Australia and at Indian Wells, just turn the pressure up and up and up, attack more and more and more, until finally Nadal broke against the relentless barrage.
To his credit, Nadal did change his tactics somewhat from what we saw at Indian Wells, which was wise given the completeness of the beat-down he suffered there. He brought a bit more firepower and variety to his serve, stood deeper on the service return to give himself a bit more time, and sometimes attacked the Federer forehand instead of just relentlessly attacking the backhand.
Unfortunately for him, on this particular day, the imprecision on the forehand side that Federer displayed during the final in Melbourne was completely absent. Federer is widely considered to have the best forehand of all time, and on this day he demonstrated it.
Ultimately, that seems to force Rafa (and everyone else) into a bit of a conundrum. If the improvements Federer has brought to the backhand mean you can no longer attack the backhand, and he’s got the forehand dialed in, meaning you can’t attack the forehand, what exactly does that leave you? Harsh language?
As we’ve seen so far this year, the answer appears to be little to nothing. Federer’s loss in Dubai was a strange blip; other than that, all he has done is win the Australian and both early-season Masters 1000 titles. Pretty impressive.
You don’t want to get too far ahead of yourself with these things, but it’s kind of hard not to. Coming off of last year’s injury-abbreviated season, Federer’s season thus far has already been remarkable. But I (and ten zillion other tennis fans) find ourselves wondering: are we witnessing a season for the ages?